Bitcoin buyers might be upbeat after the uptick on August 8. While traders are waiting for a conclusive close above $63,000, confirming bulls of the second half of last week, on-chain data points to risk and traders staying on the sidelines.
Traders Cautious: Will The Bitcoin Consolidation Continue?
Taking to X, one on-chain analyst said. However, traders are bullish and expecting immediate price expansion; key metrics show that most are more cautious, meaning the uptrend might be delayed.
One key indicator, the Bitcoin Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR), a dynamic ratio between the Bitcoin open interest in futures exchanges and the Bitcoin exchange reserves across leading platforms like Binance and Exchange, has been decreasing, recently falling by 1.5%.
Usually, whenever the Bitcoin ELR falls, traders are more confident, meaning traders are more risk-on and unwilling to gain more exposure via leveraged positions.
While open interest and ELR are falling, the analyst notes that funding rates across leveraged futures platforms remain neutral. This shows that the broader market is balanced.
Most importantly, active traders are cautious, adopting a wait-and-see approach, and are mainly hesitant. This state of affairs, the analyst said, could persist until the end of the month as traders wait for clear signals before diving in.
Miner Reserve Falling, USDT And USDC Inflow Spikes: Will BTC Rise?
The continuous drop in the Bitcoin Miner Reserve is added to this current state of affairs. The decrease comes when miners have been actively selling after the Halving event on April 20.
As revenue fell due to the halving of miner rewards, weak miners sold to stay afloat. Bitcoin prices tanked by nearly 20% throughout June amid a wave of miner liquidation.
It remains to be seen whether prices will bounce higher. However, as long as miners hold fewer coins, supply constraints exist. This development may increase prices if institutions demand more coins via spot Bitcoin ETFs.
As prices flatline, there is hope. Over the past few weeks, there have been massive inflows of stablecoins across leading exchanges, averaging $53 billion per day.
Demand could be reinvigorated as more USDT and USDC flow into Binance and other competitors. Subsequently, this may spark another wave of higher highs above crucial resistance levels in the coming days and weeks.
Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView