pwshub.com

Oil retreats as investors pare bets on Middle East war risk after sharp rally

By Emily Chow

SINGAPORE (Reuters) -Oil prices fell more than $1 a barrel on Tuesday as traders took profits from a rally in the previous session that lifted the market to its highest level in over a month on fears the Middle East could be on the brink of a region-wide war.

Brent crude futures fell $1.31, or 1.6%, to $79.62 per barrel at around 0600 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures fell $1.29, or 1.7%, to $75.85 a barrel.

Both contracts rose more than 3% on Monday to their highest levels since late August, adding to last week's rally of 8%, the biggest weekly gain in over a year, on concerns that escalating hostilities could disrupt oil supply from the Middle East.

Fighting in the region intensified after Iran-backed Hezbollah fired rockets at Israel's third-largest city, Haifa, and Israel looked poised to expand its offensive into Lebanon, a year after the Hamas attack that sparked Israel's ongoing war in Gaza.

"The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East rock on, but there has been some paring of exposure lately on some expectations that any disruptions to energy supplies may be more measured," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.

"Of course, more clarity still awaits on how Israel will retaliate towards Iran, and we may expect prices to remain supported amid the pricing of geopolitical risks."

The oil price rally began after Iran launched a missile barrage on Israel on Oct. 1. Israel has sworn to retaliate and is weighing its options, with Iran's oil facilities considered a possible target.

However, some analysts said an attack on Iranian oil infrastructure is unlikely and warned oil prices could face considerable downward pressure if Israel focuses on any other target.

Even if an attack targets Iranian oil facilities, there is 7 million barrels per day of spare supply capacity within the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to make up for the loss of its oil output, ANZ Bank analysts noted on Friday.

Developments in the Middle East will also do little to change the oil demand outlook, which continues to look sombre, said Phillip Nova analyst Priyanka Sachdeva, adding the market was awaiting U.S. inflation data on Thursday for a view on the world's biggest economy.

While investors have been concerned about slow growth dampening fuel demand in China, the country's National Development and Reform Commission said on Tuesday it was fully confident of achieving its full-year economic targets.

In the U.S., Hurricane Milton intensified into a Category 5 storm on its way to Florida after forcing at least one oil and gas platform in the Gulf of Mexico to shut on Monday.

Traders will be also looking out for the latest U.S. crude oil inventory data, with analysts expecting stocks to rise by 1.9 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 4, according to a preliminary Reuters poll.

The American Petroleum Institute is due to post its tally of U.S. stockpiles at 2030 GMT on Tuesday, followed by the official tally from the Energy Information Administration at 1430 GMT on Wednesday.

(Reporting by Shariq Khan in New York and Emily Chow in Singapore; Editing by Lincoln Feast, Sonali Paul and Jamie Freed)

Source: finance.yahoo.com

Related stories
3 weeks ago - (Bloomberg) -- Stock markets are likely to trade sideways until US employment data show clear signs of either weakening or strengthening, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists.Most Read from BloombergHousing’s Worst Crisis in...
1 month ago - (Bloomberg) -- European stocks edged higher and US equity futures erased declines as investors assessed Nvidia Corp.’s results, ahead of key economic data still due this week.Most Read from BloombergTurkey Plans Istanbul Taxi Surge to...
1 month ago - (Bloomberg) -- BP Plc’s shares fell to the lowest in two years as investors punish the company for shifting away from the oil and gas business.Most Read from BloombergChicago's Migrant Surge Is Stirring Trouble for Democrats in DNC Host...
1 month ago - The Dow Jones Industrial Average notched a fresh record high while the other two major averages declined as tech stocks fell.
1 month ago - Revised jobs data show that the economy added 818,000 fewer jobs than initially forecast. Stocks ended Wednesday higher and bond yields edged lower.
Other stories
11 minutes ago - Google LLC scientists Demis Hassabis and John Jumper have won this year’s Nobel Prize in chemistry together with biochemistry professor David Baker. The trio received the award for their contributions to protein research. In an...
56 minutes ago - Investors are locked in debate over a 'no landing' for the economy, with Fed minutes on deck.
56 minutes ago - When billionaire Mark Cuban joined Dave Ramsey on The Dave Ramsey Show back in 2014, the two dove into a topic that's still a hot-button issue today: credit card debt. Ramsey and Cuban didn't exactly hold back and what they had to say is...
56 minutes ago - (Bloomberg) -- As Nvidia Corp. found itself the target of a deep selloff earlier this year, Impax Asset Management was quietly seizing the moment to build a stake it had long regretted not owning.Most Read from BloombergUrban Heat Stress...
56 minutes ago - Nvidia stock is aiming to notch a new all-time high as the AI boom shows no sign of slowdown.