As incredible a year as 2024 has been for Artificial Intelligence (AI) stocks, it's entirely possible that 2025 could be even better. There is still a lot of momentum and plenty of positive catalysts are on the horizon that can spur more growth. This is a market that most major players believe will be massive. Analysis from Statista puts the market at $826 billion by 2030.
So, as we approach the end of the year, what companies are poised to see serious growth? While I don't have a crystal ball, here are my top two picks.
Yes, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) still has room to run. The semiconductor giant is gearing up for another big year driven primarily by sales of the soon-to-be-released "Blackwell" architecture, the newest iteration of its flagship AI-powering chips.
A lot will be revealed in the company's upcoming earnings next month and the guidance the company sets, but it seems that 2025 could see a significant jump in revenue as demand continues to be sky-high for its current "Hopper" chips despite Blackwell's imminent release. The reported 12-month-long backlog for Blackwell orders should keep it so. Elon Musk, for instance, recently purchased 100,000 H100s -- there is more than one version of each iteration of chip architecture -- and plans on purchasing another 50,000 H200s soon.
Nvidia's competitors are struggling to keep pace and I don't see them materially eating into Nvidia's market share in 2025. AMD is set to release its next-generation AI chip around the same time Blackwell finally ships. Here's the catch: It will be a direct competitor of the H200, not the (Blackwell) B200. AMD is a full cycle behind at this point. This will likely narrow, but Nvidia has a lot of cash to fuel its pace of innovation that AMD can't match. Last quarter, despite playing catch up, it spent about half of what Nvidia spent on research and development.
Take a look at this chart, which shows the massive amount of free cash flow (FCF) Nvidia has at its disposal to maintain its edge. Of course, money isn't everything, but it sure helps.
Meta (NASDAQ: META) has received a lot of flack in recent years because of Mark Zuckerberg's insistence that the metaverse is going to be the next big thing. It doesn't seem like he's right about this one -- the company's metaverse division, Reality Labs, posted a $4.5 billion loss last quarter.
But I don't think this is quite the folly that many do; the metaverse still could be big. The reason I bring this up, though, is that it shows Meta isn't afraid to take risks and bet big. Zuckerberg is applying the same attitude to AI, investing heavily in building out its Meta AI and eventually incorporating that technology into the work Reality Labs does.