Lebanon
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worldLebanon Conflict Displaces 1.2 Million; Ceasefire Prospects Dim
Over 1.2 million Lebanese displaced by conflict with Israel. Prediction markets show high certainty for a ceasefire, but ground realities suggest otherwise.
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worldIsraeli Airstrikes Continue in Lebanon Amidst Conflicting Ceasefire Signals
Despite US-brokered ceasefire extensions and high odds on prediction markets, Israeli airstrikes persist in southern Lebanon, raising questions about market pricing and de-escalation efforts.
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worldLebanon and Israel Extend Ceasefire Amidst White House Talks
Lebanon and Israel have agreed to a three-week ceasefire extension following critical discussions at the White House, signaling a commitment to de-escalation.
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worldUS to Host Israel-Lebanon Summit by April 30; Markets Expect Success
The United States will host Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun for crucial talks, with markets reflecting a 100% expectation of a successful meeting by April 30.
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worldTrump Brokers Three-Week Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Extension
President Trump announced a three-week extension of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire following White House talks, with markets reflecting 100% certainty but zero trading volume.
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worldTrump Brokers 3-Week Ceasefire Extension Between Israel and Lebanon
US President Donald Trump announced a three-week extension of the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire following high-level talks at the White House, aiming to formalize peace.
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worldIDF Discovers Hezbollah Command Center Deep Underground in Southern Lebanon
Israeli forces have uncovered a significant Hezbollah command center buried 25 meters beneath southern Lebanon, highlighting ongoing military operations despite market predictions.
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worldLebanon Seeks Ceasefire Extension Amid High Market Confidence
Lebanon's ambassador will push for an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire extension today, with prediction markets showing 100% certainty for an April 30 resolution.