Prediction Markets
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cryptoGemini Wins CFTC Clearinghouse Approval, Deepens Prediction Market Push
Gemini earns CFTC approval to operate a derivatives clearinghouse, boosting control in prediction markets and signaling a move beyond crypto.
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cryptoPolymarket in Talks with CFTC to Lift U.S. Ban on Crypto Exchange
Polymarket is negotiating with the CFTC to allow American users on its main exchange again, with only one commissioner left to decide.
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cryptoCFTC Escalates Legal Battle Over Prediction Markets, Sues Wisconsin
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission is intensifying its legal campaign to assert jurisdiction over prediction markets, now suing Wisconsin and other states.
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techOpenAI Confirms GPT-5.5 Release Date, Markets Fully Settle
Prediction markets confirm OpenAI's GPT-5.5 release by April 23, with all contracts now at 100% YES. Traders anticipate benchmark results and deployment metrics.
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worldSyria Cracks Down on Hezbollah, Markets Unmoved on Ceasefire Bets
Syria's actions targeting Hezbollah-linked cells suggest a geopolitical shift, yet prediction markets show no change in expected Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire timelines.
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cryptoBrazil Bans Prediction Market Platforms Over Investor Protection
Brazil's Finance Ministry blocks Kalshi and Polymarket, citing violations of betting regulations and a need to protect citizens from unregulated gambling.
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techSam Altman Signals Rapid GPT-5.5 Development; Market Predicts Imminent Release
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's remarks suggest swift progress on GPT-5.5. Prediction markets reflect near-certain confidence in an upcoming launch, indicating strong institutional interest.
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techOpenAI Unveils GPT-5.5 with Advanced Safeguards for Select Users
OpenAI has launched GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.5 Pro, introducing enhanced safety features for a limited user group. Prediction markets reflect high confidence in the release timeline.