Israel has launched extensive airstrikes on Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon, escalating tensions in the region following the assassination of Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei and the targeting of Iranian nuclear facilities by the US and Israel earlier this year.
President Donald Trump is reviewing a 14-point plan aimed at addressing hostilities, but a fragile ceasefire brokered through Pakistan has failed to halt military operations. Prediction markets now price an Israeli withdrawal by May 31 at just 2.8%.