President Trump issued a stark ultimatum to Iran on Sunday, warning the nation must accept a peace deal or face total destruction. The threat escalates tensions as US and Israeli forces have launched major strikes on Iran since February 28, with diplomatic progress at a standstill.
The conflict has rattled global energy markets and digital asset prices. Washington has threatened to destroy Iranian infrastructure if Tehran refuses negotiations. Iran has rejected a US peace proposal and warned of retaliation against Gulf state energy assets. A separate ceasefire proposal from Pakistan may offer an alternative diplomatic path.
Prediction markets now place a 33% chance that Iran will halt uranium enrichment by April 30. If achieved, the risk premium on oil could unwind, potentially lowering inflation and impacting Federal Reserve policy-a development that would influence risk assets like Bitcoin.