A crypto analyst known as Cyclop has released historical data suggesting the Bitcoin price is unlikely to hit a new all-time high above $120,000 until after a prolonged bear market. According to his analysis, which tracks past cycles, BTC typically experiences a bull run lasting 1,065 days followed by a 365-day bear market. If this pattern holds, the current bear phase-which began in October 2025-could continue until October 2026.
The analyst’s chart projects Bitcoin could rally to between $140,000 and $150,000 in the next bull run before topping out in 2030.
Other analysts agree the local top is likely in. Colin, another crypto analyst, noted the price rejected key technical levels, including the 200-moving average and a long-standing trend line. He added that a bottom after only four months is unlikely given historical precedents.
Bitcoin briefly rallied above $80,000 before falling back into a downtrend, pressured by inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions, including stalled peace talks related to a potential U.S.-Iran conflict.
At press time, Bitcoin is trading around $76,600, down in the last 24 hours.
