The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice have filed a lawsuit against Illinois and state officials. The suit challenges Illinois's recent cease-and-desist letters sent to prediction market providers.

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- Figure 1 -

The CFTC argues prediction markets offer 'event contracts'-derivative swaps regulated under the federal Commodity Exchange Act. This grants the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction, preempting state regulation. Illinois contends the markets are sports gambling products requiring state oversight.

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The clash reflects a broader regulatory battle. Nevada's Gaming Control Board recently secured a restraining order against prediction market firm Kalshi. The CFTC will also participate in a Ninth Circuit appeals court hearing involving Kalshi, Robinhood, and the North American Derivatives Exchange.