Iran’s new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, has pledged sustained support for resistance against the U.S. and Israel, signaling regime stability over collapse.

Traders reacted to his hardline stance, which reduced the odds of regime fall by June 30 to 10%, down from 14% previously. The market reflects cautious sentiment, with $134,873 in daily trading volume and a 1-point drop at 10:59 PM.

Khamenei’s commitment implies no immediate collapse, making contrarian bets on regime fall less attractive. Traders await signs of internal friction or IRGC actions that might shift dynamics.