U.S. President Donald Trump has claimed Iran's leadership is severely weakened. He asserted former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed and his successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, is critically injured and in hiding.
The remarks align with reports of significant damage to Iran's naval and air capabilities. Prediction markets have reacted, showing a decreased likelihood of Mojtaba Khamenei making a public appearance soon.
Current market pricing for a public appearance by July 31 has dropped to 8.5%, down from 12% a week ago. Observers are watching for any official confirmation on the leadership's health status from Iranian authorities or the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.