Singapore is overhauling its Executive Condominium (EC) framework, introducing measures that analysts say will cool land bids and improve affordability for first-time buyers, but may boost near-term demand for unaffected projects.

Effective May 8, the key changes announced by National Development Minister Chee Hong Tat include: doubling the minimum occupation period (MOP) to 10 years, scrapping the Deferred Payment Scheme (DPS), and increasing the first-timer quota from 70% to 90% with a priority period extended from one month to two years.

These rules apply to all new EC Government Land Sales (GLS) sites with tender closing on or after Friday.

Analysts said demand is likely to shift toward five upcoming EC projects not subject to the new measures - at Senja Close, Sembawang Road, Miltonia Close, and two sites at Woodlands Drive 17. PropNex CEO Kelvin Fong noted that prices for these projects may see a slight upside due to high land costs.

The removal of the DPS is expected to have the greatest market impact. Over 50% of current EC buyers use the scheme to delay mortgage payments. Christine Sun of OrangeTee & ETC Group called it a prudent move, curbing speculative purchases where parents pay down payments for children who may not yet be employed.

ERA Singapore CEO Marcus Chu added that the new rules level the playing field for first-timers, who previously competed against second-timers with larger budgets from home sale proceeds.

Developers are expected to bid up to 10% lower for EC sites, potentially leading to more stable unit prices. However, analysts caution that the full impact will only be visible in 1.5 to 2 years with the first new-rule EC launches.

Median new EC prices have more than doubled over the past decade, rising from S$782 PSF in 2016 to S$1,843 PSF in early 2025.