Hezbollah
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worldU.S. Ambassador Mike Waltz on Iran Nuclear Deal and Regional Tensions
U.S. UN Ambassador Mike Waltz discusses the ongoing negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program and broader regional stability.
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worldHezbollah Attacks UN Peacekeepers Amidst Ceasefire, IDF Confirms
Hezbollah targeted UNIFIL peacekeepers in southern Lebanon during a reported ceasefire, raising concerns about the stability of the truce and potential renewed hostilities with Israel.
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worldIsrael Threatens 'Full Force' in Lebanon Amid Ceasefire Concerns
Israel's Defense Minister states the military is authorized to use full force in Lebanon, even during the ceasefire, if soldiers face threats, citing booby-trapped structures and Hezbollah outposts.
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worldHezbollah Drone Attack Sparks Market Bets on Ceasefire
Despite a Hezbollah drone striking an Israeli home, prediction markets show a strong confidence in a ceasefire by April 30.
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worldLebanon Pledges UNIFIL Attack Probe as Markets Price 100% Chance of Israeli Action
Lebanon vows investigation into UN peacekeeper attack as prediction markets signal near-certain Israeli military action in Beirut by early 2026.
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worldIsrael Establishes 'Yellow Line' Border in Lebanon
Israel's military implemented a 'Yellow Line' in southern Lebanon, mirroring Gaza's boundary, following a ceasefire. The move aims to deter ceasefire violations.
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worldIsraeli Artillery Fire Tests Lebanon Ceasefire; Regional Stability at Risk
A recent Israeli artillery incident in southern Lebanon challenges the April 16 ceasefire agreement, raising concerns for regional stability and impacting prediction markets.
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worldFrench UN Peacekeeper Killed in Lebanon, Ceasefire Confidence Tested
Attack on UNIFIL soldier in southern Lebanon raises concerns about ceasefire durability despite high market confidence in its April 30 deadline.