Polymarket
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worldIran Refuses Uranium Transfer, Citing Distrust of U.S
Iran's foreign minister rejects enriched uranium transfer to the U.S. amid nuclear tensions, impacting prediction market odds.
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financeUS-Iran Tensions Keep Fed Rate Cuts Unlikely in 2026
Geopolitical escalation with Iran and 3.8% inflation cement expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady through 2026.
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worldIran Leadership Change Odds Rise After Khamenei's Death
Prediction markets show a 34.5% probability of a new Supreme Leader by year-end following Khamenei's passing.
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financePrediction Markets: A Rigged Casino Where Most Lose, Insiders Win
A Wall Street Journal analysis reveals over 70% of prediction market users lose money, while insiders and bots capture the profits. Here's the one rule to protect yourself.
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cryptoBitcoin Bulls Eye $80K as Senate Prepares for CLARITY Act Vote
Key Bitcoin price levels to watch as the Senate Banking Committee votes on the CLARITY Act.
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techAnthropic Rejects Chinese Think Tank Access to Advanced AI Model Mythos
Anthropic denies a Chinese think tank access to its advanced cybersecurity AI Mythos, escalating US-China tech tensions.
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cryptoHezbollah Claims Three Attacks on Israeli Forces Amid Rising Tensions
Hezbollah has launched three attacks on Israeli forces, escalating the Lebanon-Israel border conflict and impacting ceasefire probabilities.
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worldIran Restores Missile Capabilities, Heightening US Escalation Risks
New US intelligence shows Iran rebuilt missile capabilities along the Strait of Hormuz, raising odds of American military action. Prediction markets adjust.