TRUMP
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worldTrump Brokers Three-Week Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Extension
President Trump announced a three-week extension of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire following White House talks, with markets reflecting 100% certainty but zero trading volume.
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financeTrump Expresses Disappointment Over Potential Fed Rate Stance
President Trump voiced disappointment if Fed nominee Kevin Warsh hesitates on immediate rate cuts. Market reaction remains stable, with traders factoring in structural inflation concerns over political pressure.
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financeTrump Pushes Fed Nominee Warsh for Immediate Rate Cuts Amidst Skepticism
President Trump publicly urged Fed nominee Kevin Warsh to cut interest rates, but market confidence remains critically low, showing near-zero bets on any immediate policy shift.
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financeWarsh Pledges Asset Sales Amid Fed Chair Confirmation Hearings
Kevin Warsh commits to selling undisclosed assets to address potential conflicts of interest during his Federal Reserve Chair confirmation hearing. Market odds reflect growing, though uncertain, confirmation expectations.
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healthTrump Greenlights Expedited Access to Psychedelic Drug Treatments
President Trump signs an executive order fast-tracking FDA review for psychedelic drugs like ibogaine, allocating $50 million for federal research into potential PTSD and substance abuse treatments.
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worldTrump, Iran Cite Talk Progress Amid Strait of Hormuz Uncertainty
US-Iran talks report progress on nuclear issues and Strait of Hormuz, but tensions remain high as a ceasefire nears expiration and key shipping lane faces renewed uncertainty.
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worldIsraeli Artillery Fire Tests Lebanon Ceasefire; Regional Stability at Risk
A recent Israeli artillery incident in southern Lebanon challenges the April 16 ceasefire agreement, raising concerns for regional stability and impacting prediction markets.
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worldFrench UN Peacekeeper Killed in Lebanon, Ceasefire Confidence Tested
Attack on UNIFIL soldier in southern Lebanon raises concerns about ceasefire durability despite high market confidence in its April 30 deadline.