Iran’s foreign minister, Kamal Kharazi, was critically injured in an assassination attempt at his home, resulting in his wife’s death.
The attack underscores growing instability amid Operation Epic Fury, a U.S.-Israel military campaign. The odds of the Iranian regime collapsing by June 30 have dropped to 10%, down from 22% last week.
Despite the assault, market reaction has been muted. Trading volume stands at $124,433 daily, with a 5-percentage-point shift requiring $26,300. The largest move so far was a 1-point decline.
Analysts say the regime remains resilient without broader collapse signs. A YES share at 10¢ offers a 10x return if the regime falls by June 30.
Traders are watching for signals from Iran’s IRGC Supreme Council and the Assembly of Experts, along with public appearances by Mojtaba Khamenei, which may indicate leadership stability.