Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has ordered the military to strike the southern suburbs of Beirut, a key Hezbollah stronghold, signaling a major escalation in the ongoing conflict.
This directive comes despite a fragile ceasefire and as diplomatic talks involving the United States continue in Washington. By targeting a densely populated area of the capital, Israel appears to be expanding operations beyond border zones into strategic locations.
Prediction markets reflect the shift: the probability of Israel striking four countries by 2026 has risen to 43.2%, while the chance of an Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30 has dropped to 6.5%.