The U.S. Treasury has seized nearly $500 million in cryptocurrency assets tied to Iran as part of Operation Economic Fury, a campaign targeting Iran's economic capabilities. The Office of Foreign Assets Control sanctioned several wallets, freezing $344 million in USDT. This escalation aligns with the Trump administration's maximum pressure strategy amid a temporary diplomatic ceasefire.
Prediction markets show a 0.1% probability of Iran surrendering enriched uranium by April 30, down from 5% a week ago. Bitcoin’s probability of staying above $86,000 on April 30 remains at 100% YES, indicating minimal market impact from the seizure. The market sees an 8.5% chance of the U.S. obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by May 31.