Iran
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worldTrump Signals Flexibility: 20-Year Iran Nuclear Halt Acceptable
President Trump says a 20-year suspension of Iran's nuclear program is enough, shifting from demand for permanent cessation.
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worldIran Refuses Uranium Transfer, Citing Distrust of U.S
Iran's foreign minister rejects enriched uranium transfer to the U.S. amid nuclear tensions, impacting prediction market odds.
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worldTrump Signals Shift on Iran Nuclear Timeline
Former President Donald Trump now open to a 20-year limit on Iran's nuclear program, reversing his earlier demand for permanent dismantlement.
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cryptoIran Tensions Fuel WTI Surge, Fed Rate Cut Bets Slip
Geopolitical risk in the Middle East drives WTI crude oil prices higher while lowering expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026.
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worldMerz Admits Coalition Struggles, Pivots to Foreign Policy with Trump Call
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz acknowledges communication failures and policy disputes within his coalition, while signaling a tougher stance on Iran and discussing Ukraine with President Trump.
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worldIran Leadership Change Odds Rise After Khamenei's Death
Prediction markets show a 34.5% probability of a new Supreme Leader by year-end following Khamenei's passing.
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worldIran Says It Cannot Trust U.S. in Talks; Trump Claims Control of Strait of Hormuz
Iran refuses to trust the U.S. in negotiations as Trump asserts control over the Strait of Hormuz amid shaky ceasefire.
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worldTrump's Beijing Visit: Flattery, Fanfare, and Thorny Issues
President Trump's state visit to China features grand spectacle, praise from Xi Jinping, and tough talks on trade, Taiwan, and Iran.