Polymarket
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cryptoKalshi Rockets to $22 Billion Valuation After $1 Billion Fundraise
Kalshi raised $1 billion at a $22B valuation, dominating US prediction markets with 90% market share and 2M monthly users.
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worldIran Seals Strait of Hormuz, Global Oil Supply Chain at Risk
Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz blocks 20% of global crude transit, spurring Gulf states to fast-track alternative export routes.
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worldUS Runs Quiet Escorts Through GPS-Jammed Strait of Hormuz
The US is escorting ships through the GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid escalating US-Iran hostilities, with prediction markets pricing high transit odds.
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worldIran Airstrikes Hit 228 U.S. Military Targets, Geopolitical Tensions Escalate
Satellite analysis confirms 228 U.S. targets damaged by Iran as Trump pauses operations. Market odds rise for airspace closure by late May.
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cryptoInstitutions Absorb 5x Bitcoin Supply, Propelling Price Past $80K
Institutional demand from BlackRock, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy sends Bitcoin past $80,000 with a near-term target of $96,000 by June.
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worldEscalating Russian Strikes Dim Hopes for Ukraine Ceasefire by 2026
Deadly Russian attacks airstrikes involving Iskander missiles and Shahed drones reduce predicted probability of a 2026 ceasefire.
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worldIran Threatens European Bases, Geopolitical Risk Surges
Iran's hardline Kayhan editor warns of strikes on European bases hosting US troops, raising military escalation fears.
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worldIran Seizes Two Ships as Strait of Hormuz Traffic Plummets
Iran's seizure of two vessels slashes Strait of Hormuz traffic, escalating geopolitical tensions and impacting global oil and LNG markets.