Polymarket
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worldRussia Launches Massive Assault on Dnipro; 30 Injured
Russia hit Dnipro with 666 missiles and drones, injuring 30. Ceasefire odds dip as escalation continues, but NATO clash markets hold steady.
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worldUAE Intercepts Iranian Missiles, Gulf Tensions Soar
The UAE intercepted 15 missiles and four drones from Iran, escalating the 2026 Gulf conflict amid rising risk of Iranian airspace closure.
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worldUS-Iran Ceasefire on the Brink as Military Actions Escalate
The fragile US-Iran ceasefire is near collapse amid missile launches and failed talks, raising tensions and market uncertainty.
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financeUS Economic Indicator Ratio Hits 0.84, Mirroring 2008 Crisis Level
The ratio of US leading to coincident economic indicators has fallen to 0.84, equaling the 2008 financial crisis low, fueling recession fears.
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cryptoSEC Blocks 24 Prediction Market ETFs From Launching This Week
The SEC delays 24 prediction market ETFs from Bitwise, Roundhill, and GraniteShares, citing concerns over securities law compliance.
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techTrump Admin Eyes AI Model Review Order, Threatening Anthropic's Timeline
The Trump administration may issue an executive order for pre-release AI model reviews, raising compliance risks for Anthropic's Mythos delivery.
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financeKevin Warsh Expected to Be Confirmed as Fed Chair by Mid-May
Prediction markets show a 96% probability of Kevin Warsh's confirmation as Fed Chair by May 15. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem expresses confidence in policy continuity.
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financePowell Remains Fed Chair as DOJ Drops Probe
Jerome Powell stays as Fed Chair after DOJ ends investigation, stabilizing market expectations for his tenure.