Polymarket
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financeIran Tensions Push Oil to $115; Central Banks Turn Hawkish
Escalating Middle East conflict drives oil prices up, prompting a hawkish turn from major central banks and tightening risk assets.
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worldIran Accuses US of Strikes During Talks, Military Tensions Surge
Iran accuses the US of military strikes amid negotiations. Prediction markets show 100% chance of Iranian military action.
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cryptoBitcoin Holds Steady Above $68K Amid Iran War Fears
Bitcoin remains above $68,000 despite the Iran war and global tensions, with Polymarket pricing showing 99.8% confidence in stability
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financeKevin Warsh Confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15, Powell Exit Looms
Prediction markets show 92.3% chance Kevin Warsh becomes Fed Chair by May 15, with Jerome Powell's exit by May 31 at 97.8%.
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cryptoPolymarket Partners with Chainalysis to Combat Insider Trading After Soldier Arrest
Prediction market Polymarket is deploying blockchain-based surveillance tools from Chainalysis to detect insider trading and enforce market integrity.
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financeSenate Banking Committee Advances Warsh for Fed Chair, Signaling Powell's Exit
The Senate Banking Committee voted along party lines to advance Kevin Warsh's nomination as Fed Chair, with Polymarket odds surging to 72% for Powell's departure by May 15.
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cryptoPolymarket Partners with Chainalysis to Curb Insider Trading
Polymarket partners with Chainalysis to deploy detection tools targeting insider trading and suspicious activity on its blockchain-based prediction market.
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financeFed Rate Hike Odds Rise Amid Memory Shortage and Energy Disruptions
Wall Street now sees an 11% chance of a Fed rate hike in 2026 as supply shocks from the global memory shortage and Middle East disruptions fuel inflation fears.