Prediction Market
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sportsMessi Powers Ahead in 2026 Golden Boot Race
Lionel Messi leads the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot race with six goals, extending a historic scoring streak that has heavily shifted prediction market odds.
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worldTrump Threatens Saudi Missile Supply Amid Hormuz Standoff
Former President Trump reportedly threatened to cut Saudi missile defenses after the kingdom blocked his Strait of Hormuz plan, escalating geopolitical tensions.
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cryptoPolymarket Hit by $3.1M Hack, Promises Full Refunds
Decentralized prediction platform Polymarket confirms a security breach drained $3.1M via a compromised vendor, marking its second incident in five weeks.
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cryptoCFTC Probes Polymarket After Bipartisan Senate Push
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is investigating the crypto prediction market Polymarket following a request from bipartisan US senators over new allegations.
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techU.S. Government Restricts Access to Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 AI Amid Security Concerns
The U.S. imposes restrictions on Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 AI after it uncovers classified system vulnerabilities, causing short-term market uncertainty while long-term restoration odds remain high.
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worldIsrael Defies US Pressure, Maintains Forces in South Lebanon
Israel's defense minister vows to keep military presence in southern Lebanon despite US calls for withdrawal, as Hezbollah rejects ceasefire. Prediction market odds for a peace deal fell to 3.7%.
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financeKalshi Bets Against Bessent's 3% GDP Growth Target: Just 14% Odds
Prediction market Kalshi gives only a 14% probability to US GDP growth above 3% in 2026, sharply contrasting with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's optimistic forecast amid rising inflation and recession fears.
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cryptoKalshi Prediction Markets Price 69% Chance Bitcoin Hits $50,000 Before $100,000
CFTC-regulated exchange Kalshi shows traders favor a downside test to $50,000 over a breakout to $100,000, reflecting current bearish sentiment and macro uncertainty.