Trump
-
worldIran's Supreme Leader Defies US Blockade as Oil Prices Soar
Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei rejects US naval blockade, claiming control over the Strait of Hormuz as oil tops $126 a barrel.
-
cryptoBitcoin Slides Toward $75K as Oil Surges on Iran War Fears
Bitcoin drops 2.1% to $75,633 as Brent crude hits $126 on reports Trump may order military action against Iran.
-
worldStrait of Hormuz Stalemate: Trump Weighs Iran's Offer Amidst Ongoing Conflict
The White House is discussing Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, but sticking points remain over the nuclear program and ongoing hostilities.
-
worldTrump Rejects Iran Proposal, Dimming Diplomatic Meeting Prospects
President Trump's rejection of Iran's latest offer significantly reduces the likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by mid-2026. Market odds reflect a growing belief in continued stalemate.
-
worldNetanyahu Orders Strikes on Hezbollah, Ceasefire Odds Remain High
Despite Prime Minister Netanyahu's directive for forceful attacks on Hezbollah, prediction markets indicate a 100% certainty of a ceasefire by June 30 and April 30. Zero trades have been recorded, reflecting theoretical rather than active conviction.
-
worldUS-Iran Peace Talks Collapse Amidst Diplomatic Stalemate
Hopes for peace between the US and Iran dwindle as President Trump cancels envoy visits, citing inadequate offers and internal Iranian disarray.
-
worldIsrael Strikes Hezbollah, Tensions Strain Lebanon Ceasefire
Recent Israeli strikes on Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon are raising concerns about the stability of a fragile ceasefire, despite prediction markets showing high confidence.
-
worldIsraeli Military Urges Wider Lebanon Attacks, Threatening Diplomacy
The Israeli army is recommending expanded operations in Lebanon, casting doubt on scheduled diplomatic meetings and ceasefire agreements.