stagflation
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financeKalshi Bets Against Bessent's 3% GDP Growth Target: Just 14% Odds
Prediction market Kalshi gives only a 14% probability to US GDP growth above 3% in 2026, sharply contrasting with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's optimistic forecast amid rising inflation and recession fears.
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financeUK Economy Contracts in April Amid Iran War Energy Shock
The UK GDP shrank 0.1% in April as the Iran conflict triggered an energy shock, complicating Bank of England policy amid rising inflation and stagflation risks.
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financeGoldman Sachs flags dollar strength without Treasury demand shift amid Iran tensions
Goldman Sachs sees a divergence in safe-haven flows as the US-Iran conflict drives dollar gains but not Treasury buying, with foreign institutions selling.
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financeGlobal Bond Rout Deepens as Middle East War Drives Inflation Fears
Government debt prices fall sharply across US, Europe, Japan, and UK as oil surges to $111, reigniting stagflation fears.
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financeLagarde Dismisses Stagflation Fears Despite Rising Eurozone Inflation
ECB President Lagarde rejects stagflation fears as eurozone inflation hits 3%. Energy prices surge 10.9% year-on-year amid Middle East conflict.
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financeECB Holds Rates; Inflation Risks Remain High Amid Middle East Crisis
ECB holds rates steady as Middle East conflict drives oil prices higher, fueling inflation. Markets price in rate cuts by April 2026.
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financeEurozone Inflation Surges to 3% on Energy Spike and Stalled Growth
Annual inflation hits 3% in April, driven by a 10.9% energy price surge due to the Iran war, as eurozone GDP slows to 0.1%.
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financeBaker Hughes: Strait of Hormuz Closure Risk Through 2026
Baker Hughes warns of potential Strait of Hormuz closure until 2026, impacting global oil supply and potentially causing stagflation. Market sentiment remains skeptical.