New data reveals artificial intelligence contributed 1.5% to the United States’ GDP growth of 2.0% in the first quarter of 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
That means AI accounted for 75% of total economic expansion in Q1. The finding aligns with earlier forecasts that technology would be a key driver of economic performance.
The news has immediate implications for prediction markets. The question "Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?" is currently priced at 100% YES, suggesting traders now see above-1% growth as virtually certain.