The U.S. has confirmed a rescue operation following Iran's claim of shooting down a U.S. fighter jet. As a result, the probability of U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 has climbed to 86%. Traders saw a surge in betting on this outcome, increasing the daily trading volume to $4.26M in USDC, a sign of institutional confidence.
With such high odds, market watchers are now closely tracking statements from key figures like Trump, Hegseth, and CENTCOM, alongside any Congressional War Powers moves that may influence the situation.