As the U.S.-led war on Iran reaches 100 days, the conflict remains deeply unpopular at home, posing a growing political threat to President Donald Trump and the Republican Party.
The military campaign, dubbed Operation Epic Fury alongside Israel, has triggered a War Powers Resolution in the House aimed at curbing presidential authority.
Political resistance is now showing up in prediction markets, which have lowered the probability of a full-scale invasion of Iran. At the same time, those same markets reflect rising confidence in the continued survival of the Iranian regime.
Analysts say the domestic backlash has become a key factor limiting escalation. The situation remains fluid, with both battlefield developments and Capitol Hill maneuvers shaping market expectations.
Observers are watching for further signs of congressional pushback, as well as any shifts in Iranian military strategy or diplomatic overtures.