CENTCOM
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worldIran's Drone Threat Endangers Kuwait, US Troop Entry Odds Skyrocket
Iran's persistent drone threat targets Kuwait's vital water facilities, while prediction markets show near certainty of US ground forces entering Iran by April 30.
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worldIran Rejects US Peace Deals as Military Escalation Nears
Prediction markets show 99.7% odds for US forces entering Iran by April 30, with ceasefire chances dropping to just 5.7%.
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worldUS-Israel Plan Military Strikes as Iran Ceasefire Odds Plummet
Market signals show 5.7% chance of ceasefire by April 7 as military preparations escalate tensions with Iran.
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worldIran Deadline Looms: Negotiators Doubt US Deal, Escalation Fears Rise
Negotiators express skepticism over Iran meeting US demands by President Trump's deadline, increasing the risk of military escalation in the Strait of Hormuz.
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worldUSS Ford Returns Near Iran Amid Escalating Tensions
USS Gerald R. Ford set to resume operations near Iran, raising odds for US military action to 60% by April 30.
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worldIran Escalation Crushes US Ceasefire Odds to 1%
Iran's military strikes reduce US-Iran ceasefire probability to just 1% by April 7, as predictive markets show dramatic pessimism
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worldCeasefire Odds Drop Below 2% as Iran-Israel Tensions Escalate
Polymarket data shows ceasefire odds plummet to 1.8% for April 7 as Iran continues missile attacks despite US-Israel Operation Epic Fury.
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worldTrump Considers Special Forces Mission to Seize Iran's Uranium
Markets react as US weighs ground operation to prevent Iranian nuclear advancement.