Centcom
-
cryptoIran Claims Downed U.S. Jet Amid Escalating Tensions
U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 rises to 60.5% as markets react to Iran's unverified claim.
-
worldTrump Announces Iran Ceasefire Talks Amid Withdrawal Discussions
President Trump plans ceasefire announcement with Iran as troop withdrawal negotiations continue amid declining Polymarket odds.
-
worldIran Threatens Strait Closure Amid Escalating US-Tensions
Iran's threat to close the Strait of Hormuz intensifies US-Iran tensions, sending markets volatile.
-
worldIran Controls Strait of Hormuz as Ceasefire Odds Plummet
Tehran's strategic blockade sends geopolitical markets into turmoil with ceasefire probabilities dropping dramatically across all timeframes.
-
worldUS Deploys 18 Additional A-10 Aircraft to Middle East
The US military sends more A-10s to the Middle East, prompting traders to adjust bets on the probability of entering Iran.
-
financeUS-Israeli Strike Hits IRGC Missile Site in Iran
A U.S.-Israeli airstrike near Isfahan increases tension, lowering ceasefire expectations.
-
financeIran's New Supreme Leader Vows Resistance Amid Market Volatility
Mojtaba Khamenei pledges continued support for resistance, pushing regime fall odds down to 10% on Polymarket.
-
worldUS Military Degrades Iran’s Threat to Strategic Strait of Hormuz
US strikes degrade Iran’s ability to threaten the Strait of Hormuz. Heavy bombardment drives oil prices over $105 as Trump weighs strategy shift amidst global commerce risks.