IDF
-
worldIDF Kills 130 Hezbollah Fighters in Major Lebanon Operation
Israeli forces intensify operations in southern Lebanon, raising doubts about near-term withdrawal as prediction markets show 0.1% odds for April pullout.
-
worldIsrael Extends Emergency Amid Shelling, Ceasefire Doubts Grow
Israel extends state of emergency through May 7th due to Lebanon shelling, casting doubt on a US-Iran ceasefire deal. Prediction markets reflect bearish sentiment on a resolution.
-
worldIDF Uncovers Hezbollah Weapons Cache in Lebanon; Ceasefire Markets Unaffected
The Israeli military discovered a Hezbollah weapons cache in a child's bedroom in southern Lebanon, raising questions about ceasefire implementation despite unaffected prediction markets.
-
worldHezbollah Drone Strike Claims IDF Soldier, Tests Lebanon Ceasefire
A deadly Hezbollah drone attack on Israeli forces in southern Lebanon has killed one soldier and injured six, raising questions about the durability of the existing ceasefire.
-
worldNetanyahu Scraps Meron Event Amid Lebanon Border Fire
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu cancels major celebration due to renewed fire from Lebanon, raising questions about diplomatic timelines and market predictions.
-
worldIsrael Boosts Northern Security Amid Hezbollah Tensions
New security measures in northern Israel signal rising tensions with Hezbollah, impacting ceasefire contract pricing and diplomatic outlook.
-
worldNetanyahu Orders 'Vigorous Attack' on Hezbollah Amid Ceasefire Tensions
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has directed a significant escalation against Hezbollah in Lebanon, complicating a fragile three-week ceasefire extension and raising border tensions.
-
worldIsrael Strikes Hezbollah, Tensions Strain Lebanon Ceasefire
Recent Israeli strikes on Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon are raising concerns about the stability of a fragile ceasefire, despite prediction markets showing high confidence.