Polymarket
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worldIran Targets US-Flagged Ship Near Qatar as Strait of Hormuz Crisis Escalates
An Iranian cargo ship flying an American flag was targeted near Qatar, escalating the ongoing waterway crisis and impacting global shipping.
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worldIran Threatens Oil Blockade at Strait of Hormuz
Iran warns it will block oil shipments through the strategic Strait of Hormuz if attacked by the U.S., raising global supply concerns.
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cryptoPutin announces ceasefire; crypto market reacts cautiously
Russian President Putin declared a two-day ceasefire citing security concerns. Ukraine reported violations. Crypto markets saw modest gains, while Polymarket odds of lasting peace fell.
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worldIsraeli Strikes Near Beirut Escalate Conflict, Ceasefire Collapses
Israeli strikes near Beirut escalate conflict with Hezbollah as the US-brokered ceasefire dissolves and casualties mount.
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worldU.S. Forces Disable Two Iranian Tankers in Strait of Hormuz Blockade Enforcement
U.S. Central Command released video of disabling two Iranian tankers breaching the blockade, reinforcing market odds the Strait stays restricted.
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worldIran Closes Strait of Hormuz, Oil Prices Surge
Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupts global oil supply, driving WTI crude to $95.42.
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financeUS Unemployment Steady, Dimming Prospects for a Fed Rate Cut by June
The US unemployment rate held at 4.3% in April. Strong job gains make a near-term rate cut from the Federal Reserve unlikely.
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worldHezbollah Rockets Strike Haifa in Major Escalation of Israel-Lebanon Conflict
Hezbollah's rocket attack on Haifa marks a strategic shift, raising tensions and affecting prediction markets on Israeli airspace closure and withdrawal.