Israeli forces conducted 41 attacks in Lebanon on Friday, killing 23 people, according to Anadolu News Agency. The strikes are part of the 2026 Lebanon war, which resumed after the assassination of Iran’s Supreme Leader in February.
Israel's stated objective is to establish a security zone in southern Lebanon to counter Hezbollah. The conflict, including operations like Operation Eternal Darkness, has caused over 2,600 casualties and displaced more than one million people.
Prediction markets reflect the reality on the ground: the contract for "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026" is trading at just 0.1% YES. Participants see a sustained Israeli military presence with no near-term withdrawal.