Ceasefire
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worldIran Adviser Calls for End to US Ceasefire, Shifting Market Sentiment
Mohsen Rezaee's remarks prompt traders to reassess the likelihood of a US-Iran ceasefire holding, impacting prediction markets and signaling potential geopolitical shifts.
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worldRussia Strikes Kyiv and Odesa: 17 Dead, Ceasefire Odds Plummet
Massive Russian air assault on Ukrainian cities kills 17, significantly reducing the likelihood of a ceasefire by May 2026. European aid intensifies.
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worldHezbollah Repels Israeli Advance Amid Shifting Ceasefire Odds
Prediction markets show a significant surge in the odds of an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire, despite ongoing ground clashes and Hezbollah's successful repulsion of Israeli advances.
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worldTrump Facilitates Potential Israel-Lebanon Peace Talks Thursday
President Trump announces potential Thursday talks between Israel and Lebanon, aiming to ease regional tensions after years of conflict.
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worldLebanon Pursues Direct Israel Talks Amid Hezbollah Opposition
Lebanon's government confirmed direct talks with Israel, a significant move despite Hezbollah's opposition, aimed at securing a ceasefire. Market data indicated high confidence prior to the announcement.
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worldIsraelis War-Weary, Oppose Iran Ceasefire Despite Stalemate
New poll reveals widespread Israeli opposition to the Iran ceasefire, with many questioning the war's achievements and feeling despair amidst ongoing conflict and political uncertainty.
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worldLebanon Demands Ceasefire Before Direct Talks with Israel
Lebanon insists on a ceasefire before engaging in direct negotiations with Israel next week, amidst ongoing strikes and rocket exchanges. US to host talks.
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worldStrait of Hormuz Traffic Remains Low Post-Ceasefire
Despite a ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran, maritime traffic through the vital Strait of Hormuz remains significantly below pre-war levels.