Polymarket
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financePowell Defies Trump, Vows to Stay at Fed as Markets Watch
Jerome Powell says he will remain a Fed governor despite intense criticism from President Trump. Prediction markets show low odds of resignation by May 14, but a spike in May 15 contracts points to a potential catalyst.
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cryptoPolymarket in Talks with CFTC to Lift U.S. Ban on Crypto Exchange
Polymarket is negotiating with the CFTC to allow American users on its main exchange again, with only one commissioner left to decide.
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financeHighest Fed Dissent Since 1992, No Rate Cut Expected
April 29 FOMC meeting records most dissenting votes in over 30 years. No rate cut priced in despite Governor Miran's call for easing.
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financeKevin Warsh Fed Nomination Signals Powell Exit by June 30
Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation process is underway, with prediction markets showing near certainty that Jerome Powell will be out as Fed Chair by June 30.
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financeSenate Banking Panel Advances Warsh as Fed Chair; DOJ Drops Powell Probe
Kevin Warsh's nomination advances amid dropping odds for Jerome Powell's exit.
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techSamsung Q1 Profit Beats Expectations, Starts HBM4 Production for Nvidia
Samsung posts strong Q1 profit led by chip demand, begins mass producing HBM4 memory for Nvidia, while Polymarket traders eye geopolitical risks.
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financeBond Market Bets on Fed Rate Hike Amid Stubborn Inflation
Bond markets see 12% chance of rate hike by year-end, signaling inflation fears outweigh recession worries.
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financeFederal Reserve Holds Rates Steady in Powell’s Final Meeting as Chair
The Fed left interest rates unchanged in Jerome Powell’s last meeting as chairman. Traders see odds of a cut near zero.