Polymarket
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financeAramco CEO Sees Oil Market Recovery Extending to 2027
Amin Nasser warns supply disruptions, including the Strait of Hormuz blockade, will prolong the oil market recovery through 2027.
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worldUS-Iran Strikes Test Fragile Ceasefire, Jolt Prediction Markets
Renewed military actions between Iran and the US strain the April ceasefire, disrupting oil tanker traffic and halting diplomatic progress.
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financeReform UK Sweeps Local Elections, Labour Loses 1,400 Seats
Reform UK secures 1,450 council seats in UK local elections, while Labour suffers major losses, triggering leadership questions for Keir Starmer.
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worldTrump Warns Iran of Consequences as Military Tensions Escalate
President Trump warns Iran of consequences for delays amid rising tensions, with potential impacts on oil prices.
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cryptoTrump's Truth Social Post Drives Insult Market to 99.9%
A prediction market on Polymarket now shows a 99.9% chance Trump will publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026, following his latest Truth Social remarks.
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financeJerome Powell to Step Down as Fed Chair by May 15, Kevin Warsh Set to Take Over
Jerome Powell will conclude his term as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, with Kevin Warsh expected to succeed him, according to prediction markets.
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worldUS Enforces Naval Blockade in Hormuz as Iran Tensions Surge
Over 20 US warships enforce a blockade against Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, following strikes and the assassination of Supreme Leader Khamenei.
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worldIran Protests Escalate: Thousands Dead in Largest Uprising Since 1979
Massive anti-regime protests in Iran result in thousands of casualties. Prediction markets show stable odds for leadership change amid ongoing unrest.