Polymarket
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worldTrump Announces Iran Ceasefire Talks Amid Withdrawal Discussions
President Trump plans ceasefire announcement with Iran as troop withdrawal negotiations continue amid declining Polymarket odds.
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worldIran Threatens Strait Closure Amid Escalating US-Tensions
Iran's threat to close the Strait of Hormuz intensifies US-Iran tensions, sending markets volatile.
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cryptoTrump Urges Iran to Negotiate Amid Rising Ceasefire Odds
Trump's call for diplomacy increases likelihood of US-Iran ceasefire by April 30, with prediction markets reflecting growing optimism.
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worldIran Claims 7 Million Fighters Ready as Ceasefire Odds Collapse
Iran's parliament speaker declares 7 million fighters prepared for conflict, as ceasefire probabilities plummet amid escalating tensions with the U.S. and Israel.
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worldUS-Israel Strikes Hinder Iran Ceasefire Odds
Military actions in Tehran-Karaj reduce ceasefire probabilities, as markets react to escalating tensions.
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financeUS-ISRAELI STRIKES TARGET IRAN'S ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE
Military actions in the Middle East raise fears of escalating conflict and lower odds of a ceasefire by April 7.
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cryptoTrump Hints at Back-Channel Iran Ceasefire Efforts
Former President Trump suggests secret diplomatic overtures toward Iran, sparking market speculation on ceasefire timelines. Key dates and geopolitical signals under scrutiny.
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worldIran Controls Strait of Hormuz as Ceasefire Odds Plummet
Tehran's strategic blockade sends geopolitical markets into turmoil with ceasefire probabilities dropping dramatically across all timeframes.